This analysis maps three scenarios for the US-Israeli war on Iran — frozen attrition, structural escalation, and regime change — evaluated along three axes: IRGC resilience, the limits of coercive strategy, and the fractures emerging within the Western alliance architecture.
One of the main challenges affecting the EU structure is the absence of a shared strategic narrative to unite all member states and develop a common strategic path to navigate global uncertainties. This narrative would be a geopolitical compass based on geopolitical necessities and threats, that would guide the EU’s foreign policy and diplomacy.
The journey of the Sumud flotilla represents a remarkable case in the current geopolitical situation in the Mediterranean and sets a first precedent for a kind of civil action that is likely to repeat itself in the future. Despite the different political biases and views on the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, it is undeniable that this mission has caused considerable political repercussions in Europe and brought more attention not only to the conflict itself but also to the role of civil action in the face of realpolitik and governmental inaction.
The article analyzes the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack as part of a recurring cycle of surprise assaults, Israeli military responses, and long-term instability. It argues that lasting peace requires addressing the root causes of radicalization, not just restoring military dominance.
With the war in Ukraine almost hitting the two year mark, Russia is now the most sanctioned state in the world. But do economic sanctions deter countries from engaging in war?
“The war outside seemed to take root inside, between each of us and within each of us.”
Four years later, the Beirut explosion of August 4, 2020, not only kept the wounds open but left a mark of injustice in the country, something the Lebanese people are still fighting for to this day.
In February 2024, President Lula attended the 37th African Union Summit in Addis Ababa, promoting Brazil’s ties with the Global South. His comments labelling the Gaza conflict as genocide at the hands of Israel sparked international controversy, straining relations with Israel and affecting his domestic approval. Despite criticism, Lula remains steadfast, aligning Brazil with Global South priorities.
Sweden and Finland have joined NATO and has similar motives in doing so. Now, the Russian threat of a military standoff hovers over them.
Israel has carried out a military strike on Iran in response to Tehran’s attack last Saturday. While no material damage seems to have occurred, this mutual show of force that prioritizes war deterrence over de-escalation increases dramatically the level of tension in the region.
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