A reflection on the Italy-Turkey defence related dependencies. Interdepence has seemingly become the normal condition of modern statehood. The question is never really whether to be dependent, but on whom, on what terms, and with what degree of awareness about what you are trading away.
Connectivity is emerging as a strategic framework linking states through shared infrastructure, trade, and human exchange. By offering a logic of engagement rooted in concrete economic interests rather than ideological alignment, it may enable MENA countries to gradually overcome patterns of historical enmity acting as a catalyst for regional stability.
This analysis maps three scenarios for the US-Israeli war on Iran — frozen attrition, structural escalation, and regime change — evaluated along three axes: IRGC resilience, the limits of coercive strategy, and the fractures emerging within the Western alliance architecture.
