The Development Road aims to establish a trade route from Europe to Asia through Iraqi and Turkish infrastructure. It promises to boost the economies of both countries, enhance their geopolitical standing, and support key domestic objectives. However, obstacles to its success lie ahead.
After the Israeli ground invasion of Lebanon and the retaliatory airstrikes by Iran, the region seems more than ever on the verge of fallout.
Israel keeps switching its targets while increasingly engaging in the conflict, always winning battles but never truly finishing the war. It seems stuck in a series of Pyrrhic victories: they inflict such a devastating toll on the victor that any true sense of achievement is denied and long-term progress is irreparably damaged. There is no strategy, only one goal: survival, at every cost.
Is the Israeli attempt to eliminate and make a clean slate of every enemy -which it’s not even realistic- really enough to finally be reassured? Will Israel ever truly stop fighting? And how can the total destruction of everything around create solid foundations for the future?
Four years later, the Beirut explosion of August 4, 2020, not only kept the wounds open but left a mark of injustice in the country, something the Lebanese people are still fighting for to this day.
The intense phase of the war is moving towards Israel’s northern border with Lebanon, where mutual attacks between Iran-backed group Hezbollah militias and the IDF army are now escalating, raising concerns about the possibilities of a regional, transnational and multilevel war.
The conflict between Palestine and Israel has heavily impacted the southern region of Lebanon, exacerbating the situation across the entire country. Israel’s motivations, including concerns over border security and control over certain territories, add complexity to the conflict, particularly in the South. Despite diplomatic efforts aimed at preventing further escalation, internal divisions within Lebanon continue to pose challenges.
Israel has carried out a military strike on Iran in response to Tehran’s attack last Saturday. While no material damage seems to have occurred, this mutual show of force that prioritizes war deterrence over de-escalation increases dramatically the level of tension in the region.
Israel spent the last fifty years working to normalize regional relations and alleviate the innate tension around the birth of the Israeli State. But now, just as Netanyahu’s government is conducting the most aggressive military operation in Gaza, the web of regional relations built so laboriously is starting to tremble. How are Israel’s foreign relations being shaped by its approach to this conflict?
The latest resurgence of the Middle East conflict can be framed in an already uncertain global scenario, where heightened geopolitical risks for commodity markets are related to structural energy security issues.
Historically rivals on both geopolitical and sectarian grounds, the tripartite agreement between Saudi Arabia, the Islamic Republic and China is a diplomatic coup that could offer prospects for growth and stability in the Arabian Peninsula over the long term.
Following the resumption of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran, many international scholars began to explore the role of China in the Russo-Ukrainian war. However, it is still difficult for China to play the role of mediator. Firstly, the Russian-Ukrainian war is by its very nature a proxy war, with the US’s strategic goals to weaken Russia economically and make European countries more dependent on the US militarily. China will not be able to reverse US strategic objectives until the US domestic environment changes. Secondly, as China is a long-term challenger to US hegemony at its core, the US also wants to worsen China’s relationship with the EU by tying China and Russia together through the Russo-Ukrainian war. The EU does not have confidence in China’s neutrality in the Russo-Ukrainian war. If China wants to mediate the Russo-Ukrainian war, it must win over the EU and seek a consensus, so that both sides can force the US and Russia to act prudently on the Russo-Ukrainian war.
![[Analysis] Rolling the Dice on the Development Road: Will Iraq and Türkiye Hit the Jackpot?](https://i0.wp.com/thenewglobalorder.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/project.png?resize=941%2C200&ssl=1)
