Pablo Marçal’s campaign for mayor of São Paulo in 2024 highlights the intersection between digital populism and far-right politics, reflecting a global trend in which political outsiders take advantage of digital platforms to reshape electoral dynamics.
In Brazil, voting is mandatory for most of the adult population. Even so, between 2014 and 2024, the abstention rate showed a growth trend, reaching 29.26% in the second round of the 2024 elections, according to data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE). To better understand these factors, we conducted a statistical analysis using data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), complemented by data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), which included a linear regression to identify the most influential variables affecting voter turnout rates.
Brazil’s federal police have uncovered an alleged plot involving military officers to assassinate President-elect Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Vice President-elect Geraldo Alckmin, and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes in December 2022. The plan, referred to as “Green and Yellow Dagger,” proposed replacing the elected government with a military-led administration. Several suspects with Special Forces backgrounds have been arrested. Meanwhile, former President Jair Bolsonaro is under investigation by the Supreme Court in connection with a wider probe into anti-democratic actions following the 2022 election.
Over a decade of corruption trials has thrust Brazil’s judiciary into the spotlight. Can celebrity judges stay independent?
As Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) grows in power, its role has become an increasingly divisive topic. Confrontations with former President Jair Bolsonaro, as well as several of his allies, have kept the Court at the forefront of public discourse. While supporters view the STF as safeguarding a democracy under attack, critics argue that the Court has overstepped its mandate and amassed too much authority.
Repercussions and scenario of Trump’s victory for the governments of Lula and Milei.
The increase in unconventional threats to state security highlights the need for intelligence systems capable of facing challenges such as organized crime, cyberattacks, terrorist acts, radicalized groups, and more. In this context, the role of the Argentine Intelligence System holds significant importance. How is this intelligence system structured and regulated in Argentina, and what is its current situation?
As the globe struggles with worldwide issues, such as climate change, growing inequality and the need to finance the energy transition, new taxation schemes are discussed. Brazil’s G20 proposal seeks to transform the global tax framework into a more progressive one. This November, global leaders will have a chance to expand upon these ideas and to deliver on a propositive and determined tax vision for the future.
Amid growing debates about Brazil’s economic policy, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has indicated to his allies that he does not intend to make public demands on economist Gabriel Galípolo, his nominee to take over as president of the Central Bank from January 2025. This position shows a change in the relationship between Lula and the Central Bank. It is worth remembering that this is Lula’s first appointment after the institution gained operational autonomy in 2021. Galípolo’s appointment and tacit support for stricter interest rate policies raise questions about why Lula, historically critical of the Central Bank’s autonomy, is now adopting a more open and moderate stance.
The erosion of democracy in Peru has reached critical levels, propelled by controversial legislative measures and governance marked by unprecedented unpopularity. The recent amendments to the constitution, including the reinstatement of a bicameral Congress against overwhelming public rejection, underscore a widening disconnect between elected officials and the electorate. Moreover, the repeal of crucial measures aimed at combating illegal mining highlights a dangerous trend favoring organized crime over environmental and public safety concerns. As thousands of Peruvians seek refuge abroad amid economic downturns and rising insecurity, the urgency for profound political and constitutional reforms cannot be overstated. The international community must play a pivotal role in supporting free and fair elections, ensuring the independence of electoral and judicial institutions, and fostering inclusive dialogue among diverse social sectors. Only through concerted efforts can Peru regain its democratic footing and prevent further turmoil that threatens to destabilize the nation.
