(Analysis) History Rhymes: Maduro, Mossadegh, and Trump’s Oil Interests
Comparing Trump’s extraction of Maduro to the 1953 Iranian coup.
Comparing Trump’s extraction of Maduro to the 1953 Iranian coup.
After the U.S. operation that captured Nicolás Maduro, Latin American governments are recalibrating how seriously to take Trump’s threats beyond Venezuela. This piece maps Mexico, Colombia, and Cuba through the FAFO vs TACO lens, and asks where the practical ceiling on U.S. escalation sits in 2026.
Overview of Claudia Sheinbaum’s first-year security policy, addressing the improvement of inherited tools and the persistent disjunction between reported outcomes and public perception.
Pablo Marçal’s campaign for mayor of São Paulo in 2024 highlights the intersection between digital populism and far-right politics, reflecting a global trend in which political outsiders take advantage of digital platforms to reshape electoral dynamics.
In Brazil, voting is mandatory for most of the adult population. Even so, between 2014 and 2024, the abstention rate showed a growth trend, reaching 29.26% in the second round of the 2024 elections, according to data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE). To better understand these factors, we conducted a statistical analysis using data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), complemented by data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), which included a linear regression to identify the most influential variables affecting voter turnout rates.
Brazil’s federal police have uncovered an alleged plot involving military officers to assassinate President-elect Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Vice President-elect Geraldo Alckmin, and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes in December 2022. The plan, referred to as “Green and Yellow Dagger,” proposed replacing the elected government with a military-led administration. Several suspects with Special Forces backgrounds have been arrested. Meanwhile, former President Jair Bolsonaro is under investigation by the Supreme Court in connection with a wider probe into anti-democratic actions following the 2022 election.
Over a decade of corruption trials has thrust Brazil’s judiciary into the spotlight. Can celebrity judges stay independent?
As Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) grows in power, its role has become an increasingly divisive topic. Confrontations with former President Jair Bolsonaro, as well as several of his allies, have kept the Court at the forefront of public discourse. While supporters view the STF as safeguarding a democracy under attack, critics argue that the Court has overstepped its mandate and amassed too much authority.
Repercussions and scenario of Trump’s victory for the governments of Lula and Milei.
The increase in unconventional threats to state security highlights the need for intelligence systems capable of facing challenges such as organized crime, cyberattacks, terrorist acts, radicalized groups, and more. In this context, the role of the Argentine Intelligence System holds significant importance. How is this intelligence system structured and regulated in Argentina, and what is its current situation?